UFC 329 brings a loaded 14-fight card, mixing rising prospects, seasoned names in meaningful matchups, and several bouts with real divisional stakes, all leading into a long-awaited rematch between Conor McGregor and Max Holloway, 13 years after their first meeting.
- McGregor vs. Holloway Best Bet 1: Holloway to Win at 1.41 [-227] at ibet.
- McGregor vs. Holloway Best Bet 2: Under 3 ½ Rounds at 1.55 [-182] at ibet
- McGregor vs. Holloway Bonus Bet: Holloway by KO/TKO at 1.72 [-139] at ibet.
- Find the best UFC odds here at ibet.
“The Mac is Back”, as the man himself would say, but is the biggest star in modern-day combat sports history worth betting on at this stage of his career?
Find the answer, and more, with my complete breakdown of McGregor vs Holloway 2. I’ll deep-dive into the UFC 329 main event before giving you my UFC tips and predictions to play at ibet.
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McGregor vs. Holloway: Tale of The Tape
| Conor McGregor | Max Holloway | |
| Country | Ireland | USA |
| Age | 37 | 34 |
| Pro Record (Win/Loss) | 22-6 | 27-9 |
| KO/Submission | 19 KOs, 1 Submission | 12 KOs, 2 Submissions |
| Height | 5’9” | 5’11” |
| Reach | 74.0” | 69.0” |
| Win/Loss (Last 5) | L/L/W/L/W | L/W/L/W/W |
| Moneyline Price | 2.80 [+180] | 1.41 [-227] |
Inside the Octagon: McGregor vs. Holloway Prediction & Analysis
Conor McGregor Returns After Five-Year Absence
Saturday brings McGregor back to the Octagon for the first time in almost five years, with the Irish star chasing his first victory since stopping Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone at UFC 246 in 2020.
The UFC’s first simultaneous two-division champion was once the sport’s most electric force, tearing through a remarkable run from his April 2013 debut to his lightweight title win over Eddie Alvarez in November 2016.
This return feels very different, though. McGregor returns after a severe leg injury and a long spell away from UFC fights, with more uncertainty around him than at any point in his career.
Max ‘Blessed’ Holloway Seeks Revenge 13 Years Later
The fighting pride of Hawaii, Max Holloway, has evolved into one of the prominent fan favourites since his first meeting with McGregor over a decade ago. He’s been a constant featherweight challenger and ‘BMF’ titleholder, with wins over 155-lb legends such as Dustin Poirier and the current champ, Justin Gaethje.
Saturday will, however, bring a new challenge. The 170 lb weight class is something Holloway has never tested. With that said, it’s just one disadvantage in a fight where the majority of the chips will fall in his favour.
The first fight with McGregor is useless as a prediction backup. The Irishman is arguably facing Max in the prime of his career, following multiple injuries – including a leg break – and a five-year lay-off from competition altogether.
There are multiple factors as to why Holloway is the betting favorite over one of the sport’s most polarizing figures, and in the eyes of some, the current UFC odds are still too forgiving for ‘The Notorious’.
McGregor vs. Holloway UFC 329 Betting Picks
Holloway To Win at 1.41 [-244]
The weight class doesn’t bother me. Holloway gaining a few pounds shouldn’t bother you either. The biggest concern heading into Saturday’s main event also doesn’t involve skill. There’s simply a group of red flags, and they all bear McGregor’s name.
Aside from breaking his leg – ask Anderson Silva and Chris Weidman how they fared following leg breaks – we have a billionaire celebrity who hasn’t been in the gym training during the previous five years. A party lifestyle coupled with various business ventures transformed McGregor from a fighter into a pop culture personality.
There’s a world where McGregor somehow lands the killshot and wins by knockout in round one, but that moment is highly improbable given Holloway’s durability and cardio.
Holloway is renowned for his high output, granite chin, and ability to drag fights into deep waters and thrive. McGregor, once a precision knockout artist, hasn’t looked championship-worthy since 2016.
I expect a similar outcome to McGregor’s last two fights, both of which were against Poirier. He’s going to get hit, lose the will to compete at a high pace, and eventually succumb to the barrage of incoming strikes that Holloway delivers to all of his opponents.
Under 3 ½ Rounds at 1.55 [-182]
McGregor’s win condition is quite simple: he needs the knockout, and he needs it early. There’s also no reason to believe he survives five rounds. As a result, the under 3 ½ rounds is live for UFC betting and pretty well priced.
Out of respect, we’ll give McGregor the potential for an early knockout and the ability to survive at least 3 rounds. Still, after that point in the fight, Holloway will keep throwing shots like it’s the first, while the Irishman wonders why he ever accepted this return fight.
Bonus Bet: Holloway Wins by KO/TKO at 1.72 [-139]
For my bettors who aren’t happy with Holloway’s 1.41 odds. You can simply take a chance on the KO/TKO prop, a likely outcome if the fight goes into the later rounds.
You can be a former two-division champion and have more power than your opponent. However, the elusive McGregor of old is no more, and once you couple that with his inactivity from training and competition, Holloway is anybody’s worst nightmare in such a scenario.
UFC 329 Event Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 11, 2026 – 11:00 p.m. CET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass & Paramount+
- Main Event Bout: Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2
- Co-Main Event Bout: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett
