Brendan Allen awaits in Saturday’s UFC Vegas 122 main event, where the fourth-ranked American puts his three-fight winning streak against a Brit who has won five straight. Duncan has already beaten Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier this year. Now comes his first UFC headlining assignment, and an opponent whose submission game makes every close exchange a potential problem.
- Allen vs. Duncan Best Bet 1: Christian Leroy Duncan to win at 1.94 at ibet
- Allen vs. Duncan Best Bet 2: Fight to Go the Distance/No at 1.54 at ibet
- Find the best UFC odds at ibet sportsbook!
UFC Vegas 122 Main Event
Christian Leroy Duncan is climbing the middleweight ladder fast, but his next opponent has a habit of dragging ambitious men down to the canvas and wrapping an arm around their neck.
Can Duncan fight his way into the middleweight elite, or will Allen expose the gap he still needs to close? Let’s get into my Allen vs Duncan main event picks, analysis, and UFC predictions, with the best bets to play at ibet.
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Allen vs. Duncan UFC Vegas 122 Main Event: Tale of the Tape
| Brendan Allen | Christian Leroy Duncan | |
| Country | USA | UK |
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Pro Record (Win/Loss) | 27-7 | 15-2 |
| KO/Submission | 8 KOs, 1 Submission | 9 KOs, 7 Submissions |
| Height | 6’2” | 6’2” |
| Reach | 75” | 79” |
| Win/Loss (Last 5) | W/W/W/L/L | W/W/W/W/W |
| Moneyline Price | 1.76 [-131] | 1.94 [-106] |
Inside the Octagon UFC Vegas 122 Main Event
He’s “All-In”
The nickname “All-In” isn’t just another moniker. The Kill Cliff FC fighter is once again accepting a scrap with an opponent below him in the rankings, thus proving his willingness to stay active instead of waiting for fighters closer to his rank and arguably those who’d gift him a title opportunity sooner.
A 15-4 UFC record is even more impressive than his “anyone, anytime, anywhere” mentality of late. He’s entered veteran territory at the age of 30, and with his grappling and control being some of the best at 185 lbs, crushing another win streak this weekend will definitely put his name on the title contention short list.
Welcome to the Middleweight Top 10
With back-to-back wins over Jared Cannonier and Roman Dolidze, Britain’s Christian Leroy Duncan is now the UK’s best hope of entering title contention in Tom Aspinall’s absence. Better still, he’s just as entertaining and dangerous as the former heavyweight champ but lighter and more agile at 185 lbs.
The biggest question about Duncan is whether or not he can consistently defend takedowns in a five-round main event. Allen will be that test, and if he passes, it’s hard to see this fight going anywhere but in the underdog’s favor.
UFC Vegas 122 Main Event Allen vs. Duncan Betting Picks
Duncan Moneyline
Could this fight turn into a cliché striker-versus-grappler matchup? Undoubtedly. The first round will be the measuring stick for how this fight plays out, as Allen’s takedowns will need to succeed for him to trust grappling as a game plan.
But here’s the thing: Allen is happy to strike. So, should the takedowns falter, he will throw hands, with the main difference being the power and danger that Duncan brings compared to the kickboxing with the likes of Shahbazyan or de Riddler.
We’ve watched Duncan handle Cannonier’s and Dolidze’s takedown attempts, and I’m not particularly sold on Allen’s wrestling. Yes, his grappling and control are slick, but getting CLD to the mat won’t be easy, and in a striking battle, there’s only one winner here!
Duncan to win at 1.94 [-106]
This Fight Isn’t Going the Distance
If picking a side in this bout isn’t tickling your fancy, there’s plenty of reason to think this one could end inside the distance. For starters, I do think there’s an asterisk around Duncan’s gas tank, so an Allen stoppage late in the fight is viable. The Brit has looked tired on occasion heading into the third round, and now, with an extra 10 minutes to deal with, Allen might pose a late grappling threat.
Allen’s durability has been solid. However, CLD’s unique striking style isn’t something he’s dealt with much. Sean Strickland and Chris Curtis are the two knockout losses on his record, and although they were some time ago, Duncan’s unpredictable combination offense is a level above those two and could be a knockout threat capable of ending this fight before the judges intervene.
Fight to Go the Distance/No at 1.54 [-185]
UFC Vegas 122 Event Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 10, 2026 – 11:00 p.m. CET
- Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas
- How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass, Paramount+ & Viaplay
- Main Event Bout: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
- Co-Main Event Bout: Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert
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